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WEALTH WATCH
From the desk of Vance Howard
Jul 02, 2020
U.S. LABOR MARKETS HEALING AMID SPIKE IN COVID-19 CASES
The U.S. economy gained a whopping 4.8 million jobs in the month of June, bringing the unemployment rate to 11.1% and roundly beating economist expectations. The June data, released Thursday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics — one day early, in deference to the July Fourth holiday — reflects a labor market that is slowly healing from the devastating effects of the coronavirus pandemic.
Full story
Jun 24, 2020
TRAVEL SURGING AND SHORT PULLBACKS PROVIDE BUYING OPPORTUNITIES
The HCM BuyLine® is strong and the trend continues upward. The markets are working off a period of being overbought, but any pullback should be shallow and short lived. Again, pullbacks should be bought. The markets, along with the economy, are recovering in a V-shaped pattern and we see this continuing.
Full story
Jun 18, 2020
OLDER AMERICANS CAUTIOUS AMID VOLATILITY, YOUNGER GENERATIONS BULLISH
Even after the 6% selloff last week, the market is back to being overbought, and we expect pullbacks to remain shallow and short lived. The HCM BuyLine® is still strong, and unless it goes negative, we are once again buying on pullbacks.
Full story
Jun 10, 2020
TRAVEL REBOUNDING AS CONSUMERS JUMP INTO REOPENING
The HCM BuyLine® continues to stay strong and positive. Any pullback will probably be shallow and short lived. There is a tremendous amount of cash on the side lines. The last time there was this much cash was in 2008.
Full story
Jun 04, 2020
POSSIBLE SPIKE IN COVID-19 CASES AMID PROTESTS IN THE U.S.
The HCM BuyLine® is strong and is now moving into its 7th week since turning positive. What a great non-emotional indicator that brought our investors back in at a very rapid pace. Math sees things we as humans do not. That is why we trade math, not emotions.
Full story
May 27, 2020
MARKETS TREND UP WITH ENCOURAGING COVID-19 STUDIES
The S&P 500 has broken above the 200 EMA, which is a good sign the trend has changed back to the upside and a new bull market is taking hold. The HCM BuyLine® has now been positive for over 7 weeks and is still positive.
Full story
May 20, 2020
INVESTORS TIMID WITH ALL-TIME HIGH CASH BUILDUP
Over the years, you have surely heard me talk about “cash buildup”. When cash builds up on the sidelines, sooner or later it is deployed back into the market, which pushes the market higher. This can happen for a long period of time. Well, investors are sitting on a record amount of cash/money market holdings. This does not even include short, intermediate, and long duration treasuries.
Full story
May 13, 2020
Biotech Breaks Out and States Continue to Open
The HCM BuyLine® continues to do its job. We are oversold on a short-term basis, so a pullback is not to be unexpected, but the trend is up. Volatility is starting to subside with news of more and more states opening back up for business.
Full story
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