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WEALTH WATCH
From the desk of Vance Howard
Jul 31, 2019
The HCM-BuyLine Is Strong
The HCM-BuyLine Alpha is still strong, as you can see from the chart above. We see the market moving higher in Q3 and Q4, and any dips should be seen as a buying opportunity. We expect the Fed to drop rates a quarter of a point today because they have been signaling such a move for a few weeks. Not dropping rates now could be very damaging.
Full story
Jul 24, 2019
Cyclical Stock Narrative In Action
Last week’s market action was particularly telling, reinforcing the Cyclical stock narrative. The S&P began to pause and pull back. Bond proxies, staples and defensive leadership underperformed, while a broad list of Cyclicals not only outperformed but rallied in absolute price as well.
Full story
Jul 17, 2019
Earnings Season Opens to Expectations of Pullback as Markets Remain Overbought
Another short-term pullback appears likely given daily trading indicators are again overbought and turning down following the June-July rally that pushed major US equity indices to new highs last week. Profit-taking heading into Powell’s testimony this week and the beginning of earnings next week would not be surprising, but as always, we recommend investors remain focused on two key investment horizons.
Full story
Jul 10, 2019
Short-term Pullback Appears Likely
Another short-term pullback appears likely given daily trading indicators are again overbought and turning down following the June-July rally that pushed major US equity indices to new highs last week. Profit-taking heading into Powell’s testimony this week and the beginning of earnings next week would not be surprising, but as always, we recommend investors remain focused on two key investment horizons.
Full story
Jul 03, 2019
Push Up and Bounce Back Expected
The market looks like it is building up steam to break into new highs. We expect the next two weeks to see the market push up and bounce back a few times, with a high probability that the market will break out in the third quarter.
Full story
Jun 27, 2019
Expect a Modest Pullback
The HCM-BuyLine Alpha is still nicely above any change in trend, but with that said, we are mildly overbought. A modest pullback is warranted, and we do expect one.
Full story
Jun 19, 2019
Fed To Cut Rates This Week
The market is nicely above the HCM-BuyLine Alpha giving us plenty of room for the market to bounce back and fill. Tech has been stabilizing and moving a bit higher after a tough May. The bond market is in a nice uptrend as you can see it is clearly above the HCM-BuyLine Alpha.
Full story
Jun 12, 2019
Oversold Markets Rebound
Last week the HCM-BuyLine Alpha came close to turning over, but like we have been saying, the markets were very oversold and poised for a sharp rebound, which did happen. With the market firmly back above the HCM-BuyLine Alpha, it gives us some room to breathe.
Full story
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